I’ve stopped holding a position for or against the S&P 500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Underlying forecasts:
Daily: Positive
Weekly: Marginally positive
Monthly: Marginally positive
Quarterly: Positive
Annually: Marginally negative<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Note all the above statements are regarding whether the ranged forecast is strong enough to contribute to anticipating a short-term market trend. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Longer-term, my best forecast is a mild rebound over the next quarter, and a small decline over the coming year. In both cases, the standard deviation is larger than the magnitude of the forecast, so take it with a grain of salt.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
I’ve stopped holding a position for or against the S&P 500. Underlying forecasts:Daily: PositiveWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: Marginally positiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally negative Note all the above statements are regarding whether the ranged forecast is strong enough to contribute to anticipating a short-term market trend. Longer-term, my best forecast is a mild rebound over the next quarter,… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-03-06<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-515","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","entry"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/515","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=515"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/515\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":516,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/515\/revisions\/516"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=515"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=515"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=515"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}