Ranged-forecasts (true for both current data and recession variable forced to .4)
Daily: Negative
Weekly: Negative
Monthly: Negative
Quarterly: Positive
Annually: Marginally positive
Positive or negative is a statement of a large enough magnitude trend to suggest a daily trend direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
I’m holding in a position against the S&P at a leverage factor of just -1 that I entered after the massive spike up mid-day yesterday. Under normal circumstances, I’d have increased the leverage factor to -2 today. However, my models are designed to predict stock market movements based on norms of the past 60+ years, not the hard to predict policy decisions of the Trump administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Invest at your own risk.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ranged-forecasts (true for both current data and recession variable forced to .4)Daily: NegativeWeekly: NegativeMonthly: NegativeQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally positivePositive or negative is a statement of a large enough magnitude trend to suggest a daily trend direction. I’m holding in a position against the S&P at a leverage factor of just -1 that I entered after the… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-04-10<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-560","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","entry"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=560"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":566,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/560\/revisions\/566"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=560"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=560"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=560"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}