{"id":787,"date":"2025-12-03T21:02:16","date_gmt":"2025-12-03T21:02:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/?p=787"},"modified":"2025-12-03T21:02:16","modified_gmt":"2025-12-03T21:02:16","slug":"sp-500-forecast-4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/03\/sp-500-forecast-4\/","title":{"rendered":"S&amp;P 500 Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Daily: Negative (right at the threshold to invest)<br>Weekly: Negative (~70% over threshold to invest)<br>Monthly: Marginally negative (slightly under threshold to invest)<br>Quarterly: Negative (~90% over threshold to invest)<br>Annually: Marginally negative (~60% under investment threshold<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My reaction to these forecasts was to stay out of the market. Technically, my rules say to short this circumstance, but I prefer to be lazy and not trade given that the Daily forecast signal was a razor thin margin. If data holds, it looks likely that tomorrow&#8217;s forecast could call for shorting by less of a razor&#8217;s edge.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Daily: Negative (right at the threshold to invest)Weekly: Negative (~70% over threshold to invest)Monthly: Marginally negative (slightly under threshold to invest)Quarterly: Negative (~90% over threshold to invest)Annually: Marginally negative (~60% under investment threshold My reaction to these forecasts was to stay out of the market. Technically, my rules say to short this circumstance, but I&hellip; <a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/03\/sp-500-forecast-4\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">S&amp;P 500 Forecast<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-787","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","entry"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/787","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=787"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/787\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":788,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/787\/revisions\/788"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=787"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=787"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bullbearduck.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=787"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}