S&P 500 Forecast 2026-02-03

Daily: Negative (>4x Investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>3x Investment threshold)Monthly: Negative (>2x Investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~50% over investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I entered a position against the index today, given the way that the forecasts compliment each other. Invest at your own risk.

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-02-02

Daily: Positive (~50% over investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2.5 threshold)Monthly: Negative (~10% over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~90% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative The non-complimentary daily and weekly signals have me on the sidelines. If data holds, I might invest against the market tomorrow. Invest at your own risk.

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-27

Daily: Positive (>3x Threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~80% threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~2/3 threshold)Quarterly: Negative (almost 100% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I sold out my short position today. What started really well (thanks to Greenland) ended as a modest loss. Invest at your own risk. This is a hard environment for my model to make money, as… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-27

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-26

Daily: Negative (~20% over investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (~100% over threshold)Monthly: Negative (~10% over threshold)Quarterly: Negative >100% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still short the index based on forecasts, but I might exit as early as tomorrow depending on how new data comes in. Invest at your own risk.

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-23

Daily: Negative (80% over investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (90% over thresh)Monthly: Negative (Just over thresh)Quarterly: Negative (>2x thresh)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still short the index given those forecasts. Admittedly, the forecast strength has weakened a bit. If data holds steady, my position will likely remain unchanged tomorrow. Invest at your own risk.

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-22

Daily: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2x threshold)Monthly: Negative (Just over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still short the index. Invest at your own risk. The last couple of days haven’t exactly worked out well for me.

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-21

Daily: Negative (>4x Investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2x threshold)Monthly: Negative (A little over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (> 2x threshold) Sell the rip. I closed my shorts yesterday out of concern for a dead cat bounce in an otherwise downward trend. Now, the forecasts suggest that I should stop being concerned, and my investing is following suit. Financial… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-21

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-20

Daily: Marginally negative (~60% of investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2x Threshold)Monthly: Negative (~1.5x Threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~2x Threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I exited my short position as the daily forecast has moderated, but the longer-term forecasts suggests that I’ll jump back in tomorrow if circumstances continue.

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-08

Daily: Positive (>3x Investment Threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~90% threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not invested given the lack of complimentary daily and weekly forecasts. Invest at your own risk.

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S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-08

Daily: Positive (>3x Investment Threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not invested short-term with or against the index since the daily and weekly forecasts aren’t aligned. Invest at your own risk.

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