Daily: Marginally negativeWeekly: Marginally negativeMonthly: Marginally positiveQuarterly: Marginally positiveAnnually: Marginally negative These signals just aren’t strong enough for me to go exercising any short-term positions with or against the index. I’d also feel better if the different ranged forecasts were more aligned in the same direction. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Positive (>2x Investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~3/4 investment threshold)Monthly: NegativeQuarterly: Marginally negativeAnnually: Marginally negative I’m on the sidelines since the daily and weekly forecasts aren’t complimentary. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Marginally Positive (~60% of investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (~50% over threshold)Monthly: Negative (~90% over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~40% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I exited my position against the market today due to the daily and weekly forecasts not being complimentary. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Negative (~3x Investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (~3x threshold)Monthly: Negative (>2x threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~40% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still invested against the index despite the past day not going well for me. The longer-term forecasts have strengthened as the markets moved against them while the shorter-term forecasts have weakened, but not enough for me to… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-02-06

Daily: Negative (>6x Investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>3x threshold)Monthly: Negative (>2x threshold)Quarterly: Negative (Just over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still invested against the index. Invest at your own risk. While these are usually the conditions where I would leverage my position, there are admittedly variables at play that are hard to input into an econometric model.

Daily: Negative (>5x Investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>3x threshold)Monthly: Negative (>2x threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~40% over threshold)Annual: Marginally negative I’m still invested against the index. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Negative (>4x Investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>3x Investment threshold)Monthly: Negative (>2x Investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~50% over investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I entered a position against the index today, given the way that the forecasts compliment each other. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Positive (~50% over investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2.5 threshold)Monthly: Negative (~10% over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~90% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative The non-complimentary daily and weekly signals have me on the sidelines. If data holds, I might invest against the market tomorrow. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Positive (>3x Threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~80% threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~2/3 threshold)Quarterly: Negative (almost 100% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I sold out my short position today. What started really well (thanks to Greenland) ended as a modest loss. Invest at your own risk. This is a hard environment for my model to make money, as… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-27

Daily: Negative (~20% over investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (~100% over threshold)Monthly: Negative (~10% over threshold)Quarterly: Negative >100% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still short the index based on forecasts, but I might exit as early as tomorrow depending on how new data comes in. Invest at your own risk.