Daily: Positive (>2x Investment thresholdWeekly: Positve (~75% above threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~0)Quarterly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Annually: Negative I’m holding onto my short-term investment with the index, but my holding may be about to end. If tomorrow’s forecasts hold, I’ll close out my positions tomorrow. Invest at your own risk! Also, inflation is becoming a… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-05-12
S&P 500 Forecast 2026-05-11
Daily: Positive (>4x investment threshold)Weekly: Positive (>2x threshold)Monthly: Positive (~1/3 threshold)Quarterly: Positive (~0)Annually: Marginally negative (~2/3 threshold) I’m still short-term invested with the index since the short-range forecasts are complimentary. Invest at your own risk! Note, the annual forecasts have deteriorated significantly from last month.
S&P 500 Forecast 2026-05-08
Daily: Positive (>4x investment threshold)Weekly: Positive (>2x threshold)Monthly: Marginally positive (~50% threshold)Quarterly: Marginally positive (~40% threshold)Annually: Marginally positive (~0) Regarding short term index investing, I’m still long the index as the weekly and daily forecasts are complimentary. Longer-term optimism isn’t as great. Invest at your own risk!
S&P 500 Forecast 2026-05-04
Daily: Positive (> 2x investment threshold)Weekly: Positive (~2x threshold)Monthly: Marginally positive (<50% threshold)Quarterly: Marginally positive (close to 0)Annually: Marginally positive (close to 0) Regarding model based investing, I’m still invested long-term with the index. The longer-term forecasts are pretty weak, but the daily and weekly forecasts are complimentary. Invest at your own risk.
S&P 500 Forecast 2024-05-01
Daily: Positive (>3x my investment threshold)Weekly: Positive (2x threshold)Monthly: Marginally positive (~50% of threshold)Quarterly: Marginally positive (~1/3 of threshold)Annually: Marginally positive (~1/4 of threshold) I’m holding short-term positions long the index. Forecasts have been strengthening since I first entered. Invest at your own risk!
S&P 500 Forecast 2026-04-28
Daily: Positive (~50% over investment threshold)Weekly: Positive (slightly over investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (close to 0)Quarterly: Marginally positive (~50% of threshold)Annually: Marginally positive I entered a position long the S&P 500 today. Invest at your own risk!
S&P 500 Forecast 2026-04-27
Daily: Marginally positiveWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: Marginally negativeQuarterly: Marginally positiveAnnually: Marginally positive I’m waiting for a stronger forecast to take a position with or against the index. None of these forecasts are close to my thresholds to entertain investing. Invest at your own risk.
S&P 500 Forecast 2026-04-24
Daily: Marginally negative (~20% of investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally positive (~50% of investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (<5% of investment threshold)Quarterly: Marginally positive (~35% of investment threshold)Annually: Marginally positive Forecast signals are too weak for me to take a short-term position for or against the index. Invest at your own risk. As best I can guess, neither… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-04-24
S&P 500 Forecast 2026-04-20
Daily: PositiveWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: Marginally positiveQuarterly: Marginally positiveAnnually: Marginally positive I’m not invested short-term for or against the S&P 500 index. The forecast is too weak for me. Invest at your own risk.
S&P 500 Forecast 2025-04-17
Daily: Marginally positiveWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: Marginally positiveQuarterly: Positive (just over investment threshold, regarding leverage usage)Annually: Marginally positive) I’m on the sidelines regarding short-term S&P 500 investing given the weakness of my short-term forecasts. Invest at your own risk!
