S&P 500 Forecast 2026-08-17

Daily: Negative (Mildly over threshold)
Weekly: Negative (>3x over threshold)
Monthly: Negative (~80% over threshold)
Quarterly: Negative (>2x over threshold)
Annually: Marginally negative

I’m still holding a position against the index. As the daily forecast has weakened, and tomorrow’s forecast may lead me to exit, I toyed with the idea of getting out ahead of strategy. However, the longer-term forecasts leave me comfortable with holding on. Invest at your own risk! My models aren’t designed to predict what Trump will say next.

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