Month: October 2023

Today: Both daily and weekly indicators are negative enough to be short. Leveraging based on bearish annual forecast. Tomorrow: Ditto. Current position: Up 6.21%. Invest at your own risk.

Today: Both the daily and weekly forecast support being short the S&P 500. Tomorrow’s forecast suggests more of the same. Thus, I’m continuing to short the market with leverage. I’m currently up 3.17% on this recent position. Invest at your own risk.

Today: forecasts are both down, but the daily forecast isn’t down enough to react. Tomorrow: Both forecasts are currently looking down. Thus, I will be planning to short the S&P 500 with leverage (because the long-term forecast) is also pointed considerably downwards. As always, invest at your own risk.

Still recommending cash for the 13th due to models not aligning. However, the models align on Monday, just not over the threshold necessary for me to recommend stepping into the market. As always invest at your own risk.

Of course, I don’t recommend following the advice of somebody because they can provide a couple of amazing graphs and claim that there is data supporting it. Here are a few details about me. I am a CFA charterholder. I have a master’s degree in economics from George Mason University with coursework that included applied… Continue reading Behind the website

Still recommending cash due to daily and weekly forecasts not aligning. Invest at your own risk.

Recommendation: Today: Cash, Tomorrow: Cash. Still contrary daily and weekly forecasts. As always, just opinions based on models, invest at your own risk.

Today: Cash. Tomorrow: Cash. Daily and weekly expectations are moving opposite directions. The view posted here is an opinion derived from our proprietary econometric models. Invest at your own risk.

The investing strategy hinges on three related models an annual return model for deciding whether or not to leverage the strategy and daily and weekly models to decide whether to be long the S&P500 (bull), short the S&P500 (bear), or to sit out (duck). Regarding the annual model, I use a threshold of +/- .08… Continue reading Investing Strategy

Today: Cash. Tomorrow: Cash. Daily and weekly expectations are moving opposite directions.