Annual Forecast 2023-10-09

Bear. This forecast is worse than any of the backtesting for a variety of reasons such as the inverted yield curve, high inflation, high bond yields relative to dividend yields, etc. The current red forecast (only visible upon opening full post) is worse than what the model projected during the 2008 Financial Crisis.

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Why Bull, Bear, Duck?

Welcome to my website for sharing my insights on whether the S&P 500 is going to rise (bull), contract (bear), or just not very clear (duck). Yes, bad pun, but if I can introduce a new animal to the investing lexicon, wouldn’t it be awesome? There have been times where friends and family have wanted… Continue reading Why Bull, Bear, Duck?

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