Forecast 2023-12-28

Today and tomorrow, daily and weekly forecasts are neutral, and monthly and annual forecasts are negative. I’m on the sidelines, earning interest on cash. Invest at your own risk.

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Forecast 2023-12-27

If anyone is looking for the missing post, I skipped yesterday in honor of Christmas. Yesterday: daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts were negative. Today: the daily forecast is neutral. The other forecasts are negative. Tomorrow: the daily and weekly forecasts are neutral. The monthly and annual forecast are negative. Thus, I am still in… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-27

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Forecast 2023-12-22

Today and Tuesday, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative. However, I will not short the market over Christmas, no matter what a forecast without holiday variables may indicate. Invest at your own risk. Merry Christmas! To us a child is born, a son is given…He will be called Wonderful Counselor, Mighty… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-22

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Forecast 2023-12-21

Today and tomorrow, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. I’m still positioned against the S&P 500 at a factor of -3. However, I intend to cut back leverage over Christmas, out of seasonal concern, not model considerations. Current position is at -0.73%

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Forecast 2023-12-20

Today and tomorrow’s daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative. Thus, I’m continuing to invest against the S&P500 with leverage of (-3). Current position is at +0.22%

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Forecast 2023-12-19

Today and tomorrow, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative. My current position against the S&P 500 at a factor of (-3) has currently lost -1.09%.

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Forecast 2023-12-18

Today, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts all had a negative outlook. The same appears to be likely tomorrow. I entered a position against the S&P 500 at a factor of (-3) today. Invest at your own risk. I make no guarantees regarding where the market will go.

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Forecast 2023-12-15

Sorry for the disruption in posting forecasts, but sometimes, life happens. The overlap with the FOMC was sheer coincidence.The daily forecast for today is neutral. The weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts for today are negative. On Monday, I’m anticipating all four forecasts being negative. Thus, I’m currently not invested, but will likely take a position… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-15

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Forecast 2023-12-12

The daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative for both today and tomorrow. Because of the weakness of the monthly forecast, my position is (-1)*S&P 500 instead of -3. My open position is at -.52% since opening. Invest at your own risk. Clearly, I’m not making guarantees of success.

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Forecast 2023-12-11

Today and tomorrow, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. The severity of the monthly forecast is mild. Thus, I’m investing at S&P 500 return * (-1). I’m not confident that the negative monthly forecast will hold. Essentially, I’m wavering in a conservative way from doing exactly what the model and strategy calls for,… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-11

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