Daily: Negative Weekly: Negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Action: Enter a position against the S&P 500 with leverage factor of -3. Invest at your own risk. If conditions persist, Monday’s forecast is similar.
Month: March 2024
Forecast 2024-03-20
Today: Mildly negative. Week: Negative. Month: Negative Annual: Negative. Action: Still in cash due to the one-day forecast not being more strong. Invest at your own risk.Also, on days where I’m silent, I’m still running the model, but unless a transaction is warranted, I’m not spending the energy on posting every single day.
Forecast 2024-03-18
Daily: Mildly positive Weekly: Negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Application: Still not invested due to no strong daily signal.Tomorrow: If things remain unchanged, the daily forecast could be flirting with a negative signal tomorrow.Invest at your own risk.
Forecast 2024-03-15
Business daily: Mildly negative Weekly: Negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Reaction: Remain uninvested with or against the S&P 500.Looking forward: If conditions hold, the forecast will be slightly more negative Monday, but not quite enough for me to short the market. As always, invest at your own risk.
Forecast 2024-03-13
Daily: Mildly positive Weekly: Mildly negative Monthly: Negatvie Annual: Negative Reaction: Still not short-term invested for or against the S&P 500 index. Tomorrow looks like more of the same with a mildly more negative forecast if conditions persist as is. Invest at your own risk.
Forecast 2024-03-08
These forecasts are for the S&P 500. Daily: Mildly positive Weekly: Mildly negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Application: Wait in cash. Look ahead: Inertia suggests that forecasts will be mildly worse on Monday, but still warranting no action. Invest at your own risk.
Forecast 2024-03-07
Daily: Mildly positive Weekly: Mildly negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Application: Still not invested. Tomorrow’s forecast is expected to be more negative, but not rise to the level of taking a position. Invest at your own risk.
Forecast 2024-03-06
Daily: Mildly negative Weekly: Negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Trading application: Not invested with or against the S&P 500. Tomorrow, I expect a slightly rosier forecast and the same investing decision, but things change. Last night, I was anticipating a negative daily forecast today. Invest at your own risk.
Trading Strategy Modification
Consumers of this site may already be aware that my forecasts have been positive, neutral, or negative. Going forward, I intend to continue to make forecasts on the same ranges, but I’m tweaking the positive and negative thresholds and breaking the neutral category into mildly positive and mildly negative. More positive or negative forecasts moving… Continue reading Trading Strategy Modification