Month: February 2025

I opened a position short the index at a factor of -3. Underlying forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: NegativeMonthly: NegativeQuarterly: NegativeAnnually: Marginally negative Invest at your own risk.

I exited my position in the S&P 500. Underlying forecasts:Daily: PositiveWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: NegativeQuarterly: NegativeAnnually: Marginally negative Invest at your own risk.

Still long with no leverage. Underlying forecasts:Daily: PositiveWeekly: PositiveMonthly: NegativeQuarterly: Marginally positiveAnnually: Marginally negativeInvest at your own risk.

Still invested long the index without leverage.Underlying forecasts:Daily: PositiveWeekly: PositiveMonthly: NegativeQuarterly: NegativeAnnually: Marginally negative

I’m holding a position long the index without leverage (factor 1). Underlying forecasts:Daily: PositiveWeekly: PositiveMonthly: Marginally negativeQuarterly: Marginally positiveAnnually: Marginally negativeInvest at your own risk.

I opened a position long the S&P 500 with a leverage factor of 1.Underlying forecasts:Daily: PositiveWeekly: PositiveMonthly: Marginally negativeQuarterly: Marginally positiveAnnually: Marginally negativeInvest at your own risk.

I exited my S&P 500 position today.Underlying ranged forecasts:Daily: PositiveWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: NegativeQuarterly: NegativeAnnual: Marginally negative Invest at your own risk, as evidenced that I had a big loss in the past 24 hrs.

I opened a position against the S&P 500 with a leverage factor of -3.Ranged Forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: NegativeMonthly: NegativeQuarterly: NegativeAnnual: Marginally negative This forecasting is based on data from after Trump announced a 1 mo hold on tariffs. At the risk opining more than usual, the markets seem to be taking Trump’s tariff threats more seriously… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-02-03