S&P 500 Forecast 2025-03-04

I’ve entered a position in the index with a leverage factor of 3.

Underlying forecasts:
Daily, weekly, monthly, and quarterly ranged forecasts are positive.
The annual forecast is marginally negative.

My statements of positive or negative are simply statements of whether the forecast suggests a positive or negative trend in daily returns. I’m not making a statement regarding the scale of gains.

As someone with an economics degree, I actually thought twice about trading on these forecasts. Tariffs are generally thought to be bad for the economy on net. Plus, political volatility is clearly creating hard to predict market volatility. Invest at your own risk.

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