Ranged-forecasts (true for both current data and recession variable forced to .4)
Daily: Negative
Weekly: Negative
Monthly: Negative
Quarterly: Positive
Annually: Marginally positive
Positive or negative is a statement of a large enough magnitude trend to suggest a daily trend direction.
I’m holding in a position against the S&P at a leverage factor of just -1 that I entered after the massive spike up mid-day yesterday. Under normal circumstances, I’d have increased the leverage factor to -2 today. However, my models are designed to predict stock market movements based on norms of the past 60+ years, not the hard to predict policy decisions of the Trump administration.
Invest at your own risk.