Daily trend expectations based on ranged forecasts:
Daily: Negative
Weekly: Negative
Monthly: Marginally negative
Quarterly: Positive
Annually: Marginally positive
Daily trend expectations based on ranged forecasts when 50% recession expectation:
Daily: Negative
Weekly: Negative
Monthly: Negative
Quarterly: Negative
Annually: Marginally positive
I’ve entered a position against the market. I’m not leveraged since (a) Monthly trends don’t support the shorter ranged forecast trends and (b) I’ve established a policy of not double or tripling on bets for or against the market while market volatility is so heavily influenced by hard to predict politics.