Daily Trends based on ranged forecasts:
Daily: Negative
Weekly: Negative
Monthly: Negative
Quarterly: Negative
Annually: Marginally negative
If I force the data to reflect a 50% recession probability, those ranged forecasts reinforce the above data. Thus, I’m still investing against the index. I caution against excessive leverage given that political announcements about tariffs are hard to predict from one day to the next. Invest at your own risk.