Daily Trends based on ranged forecasts:
Daily: Positive
Weekly: Positive
Monthly: Marginally positive
Quarterly: Negative
Annually: Marginally positive
Assuming an increased recession risk of 50% doesn’t alter the expected trends.
Thus, I’m purchasing an S&P 500 index fund. The forecast isn’t strong enough to justify a leveraged bet according to my strategy. Even if it was, I wouldn’t do it since my modeling doesn’t forecast tariff news/announcements well. Invest at your own risk.