Daily trend expectations based on ranged forecasts:
Daily: Positive
Weekly: Positive
Monthly: Marginally positive
Quarterly: Negative
Annually: Marginally positive
If I force the recession risk data up to 50%, these trends are reinforced with that alternate data.
Thus, I’m still invested in an S&P 500 index fund. So far, on this position, so good. Invest at your own risk. Personally, I’m steering clear of leveraged positions until there is greater clarity regarding long-term fiscal and/or tariff policy.