I’m taking a break from daily forecast updates due to a head concussion. I hope to resume in a week or two. As a parting farewell, I’m out of the market today as the weekly forecast is for an expected gain/loss of ~0. Invest at your own risk.
Month: October 2025
S&P 500 Forecast 2025-10-03
Daily Trend Expectations based on ranged forecasts:Daily: Positive (>2x threshold)Weekly: Flat (~0)Monthly: Flat (Just under positive threshold)Quarterly: Flat (~20% negative threshold)Annually: Flat (~80% negative threshold) Invest at your own risk. I’m waiting for a clearer signal from my forecasts before reentering the market.
S&P 500 Forecast 2025-10-02
Daily trend expectations based on ranged forecasts:Daily: Positive (<2x Threshold)Weekly: Flat (effectively 0)Monthly: Positive (Marginally over threshold)Quarterly: Flat (80% of positive threshold)Annually: Flat (2/3 of negative threshold) Invest at your own risk. I’m currently sitting on the sidelines waiting for clearer signals.
S&P 500 Forecast 2025-10-01
Daily return trend expectations based on ranged forecasts:Daily: Flat (30% of negative threshold)Weekly: Flat (50% of negative threshold)Monthly: Flat (80% of positive threshold)Quarterly: Flat (<10% of negative threshold)Annually: Flat (75% of negative threshold) Invest at your own risk. I’m out. My forecasts aren’t latching on the market trending up nor down at the moment. FWIW,… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-10-01