Month: December 2025

Daily: Marginally positive (Very close to investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~70% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~90% of theshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Today, I’m not investing with or against the short-term, but my models, assuming current conditions hold, offer significantly deteriorating forecasts for tomorrow.

Daily: Positive (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Neutral (~0)Monthly: Marginally negative (~60% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~2x investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not invested short term today. I anticipate taking the same position or lack thereof tomorrow, barring a significant shift in data between now and then.

Daily: Positive (5x> investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally positive (~70% investment threshold)Monthly: Negative (>2x threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~50% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative If current data holds, I may take a position against the index on Friday. Merry Christmas!

Daily: Positive (3x investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~0)Monthly: Negative (>2x Threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~%60 over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not in the market short term today as the weekly forecast and daily forecast aren’t aligned with each other.

Daily: Positive (~30% over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally positive (~25% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~40% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~80% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still not invested in the short-term based on the model. If data stays as is, I’ll likely stay out Monday, too. To invest, I want to see the same signal from the… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-12-19

Daily: Negative (~50% over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~30% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~80% over investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Based on forecasts, I’m sitting out today. If data holds, I don’t anticipate that changing tomorrow.

Daily: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~30% of investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (90% over investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Based on the weekly forecast not being over the investment threshold, I’m sitting out regarding short-term index investing.

Daily: Negative (Slightly over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~50% under threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% under threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Regarding short-term S&P index investing, I’m on the sidelines due to the weak weekly forecast. If current data remains steady, I anticipate also sitting out tomorrow. However, tomorrow is an irregular BLS reporting day,… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-12-15

Daily: Positive (slightly over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~40% of investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still not short-term invested based on these models. If current data holds steady, I’m not anticipating any entry into a position Monday either.

Daily: Marginally positive (~20% of investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (Slightly over investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally Negative (Slightly under investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still sitting out, regarding my short term model-based investment strategy. If current data hold forecasts will be even milder regarding returns tomorrow, meaning I will likely still be sitting out.