Month: January 2026

Daily: Positive (>3x Threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~80% threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~2/3 threshold)Quarterly: Negative (almost 100% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I sold out my short position today. What started really well (thanks to Greenland) ended as a modest loss. Invest at your own risk. This is a hard environment for my model to make money, as… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-27

Daily: Negative (~20% over investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (~100% over threshold)Monthly: Negative (~10% over threshold)Quarterly: Negative >100% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still short the index based on forecasts, but I might exit as early as tomorrow depending on how new data comes in. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Negative (80% over investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (90% over thresh)Monthly: Negative (Just over thresh)Quarterly: Negative (>2x thresh)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still short the index given those forecasts. Admittedly, the forecast strength has weakened a bit. If data holds steady, my position will likely remain unchanged tomorrow. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2x threshold)Monthly: Negative (Just over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still short the index. Invest at your own risk. The last couple of days haven’t exactly worked out well for me.

Daily: Negative (>4x Investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2x threshold)Monthly: Negative (A little over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (> 2x threshold) Sell the rip. I closed my shorts yesterday out of concern for a dead cat bounce in an otherwise downward trend. Now, the forecasts suggest that I should stop being concerned, and my investing is following suit. Financial… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-21

Daily: Marginally negative (~60% of investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2x Threshold)Monthly: Negative (~1.5x Threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~2x Threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I exited my short position as the daily forecast has moderated, but the longer-term forecasts suggests that I’ll jump back in tomorrow if circumstances continue.

Daily: Positive (>3x Investment Threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~90% threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not invested given the lack of complimentary daily and weekly forecasts. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Positive (>3x Investment Threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not invested short-term with or against the index since the daily and weekly forecasts aren’t aligned. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Positive (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~65% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m on the sidelines as my the model’s daily and weekly forecasts aren’t aligning. Holding current data constant to tomorrow suggests similar forecasts for tomorrow. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Negative (>3x investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2x threshold)Monthly: Negative (Barely over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Based on my forecasts, I am in positions against the S&P 500 index. Today’s forecasts are improved (less negative) compared to yesterday. Plugging current data into tomorrow suggests that forecasts trend of improving forecasts will continue. Thus, I… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-05