Author: bullbearduck.com

Ranged Forecasts:The daily, weekly, monthly, and quarterly forecasts are positive, while the annual forecast is marginally positive. However, overriding the recession variable to .5 (on a scale of 0 to 1), makes the daily forecast negative. Positive or negative is an indicator of expected daily trend based on the magnitude of the forecast. Under normal… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-04-08

Ranged Forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: PositiveMonthly: PositiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally positive I’m on the sidelines due to the trend from daily forecasts not suggesting the same daily return trend as longer ranged forecasts. The monthly and quarterly forecasts are growing increasingly significant, but the daily forecast suggests looking for an upswing in the next 24 hours has a… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-04-07

Ranged Forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: PositiveMonthly: PositiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally Positive Positive or negative is an indication of a forecast suggesting a direction for daily return trends. Given that the Daily and Weekly expectations are currently in opposite directions, I’m on the sidelines waiting for what my models would suggest to be a clearer day directionally. Invest at… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-04-04

Ranged Forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: PositiveMonthly: PositiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally positive Negative or positive is a statement of if the forecast is strong enough to suggests a daily trend. Based on the model, I’m still on the sidelines, as the Daily rate isn’t suggesting the same trend as the weekly rate. Invest at your own risk.

Ranged Forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: PositiveMonthly: PositiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally positivePositive or negative is an indicator of a strong enough forecast to suggest a trend in daily returns. I’m out of the market since the daily and weekly forecasts aren’t aligned. Invest at your own risk. Interestingly, my forecasting for tomorrow suggests that the daily forecast will shift… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-04-02

Ranged forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: PositiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally negativePositive or negative forecasts are a statement of whether or not the forecast suggests a trend in daily returns. I’m currently spectating, rather than invested for or against the index. Invest at your own risk.

Ranged forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: PositiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally negative I sidelined my position against the index today. Invest at your own risk.

Ranged forecasts:Daily: NegativeWeekly: NegativeMonthly: Marginally positiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally negativePositive or negative is an indicator of whether the forecast is strong enough to suggest a trend in daily returns. I opened a position against the index at a leverage factor of (-1). Invest at your own risk.

Ranged Forecasts:Daily: PositiveWeekly: Marginally positiveMonthly: Marginally positiveQuarterly: PositiveAnnually: Marginally negative I exited my position long the market today, given the lack of strength in the weekly forecast. Invest at your own risk.

Daily, weekly, monthly, and quarterly ranged forecasts are positive. The annually ranged forecast is marginally negative. Positive/negative is a statement of whether the forecast is strong enough to suggest a daily returns trend, based on historical results compared to fitted model results. I am invested long the index without leverage. Invest at your own risk.… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-03-21