Forecast 2024-03-08

These forecasts are for the S&P 500. Daily: Mildly positive Weekly: Mildly negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Application: Wait in cash. Look ahead: Inertia suggests that forecasts will be mildly worse on Monday, but still warranting no action. Invest at your own risk.

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Forecast 2024-03-07

Daily: Mildly positive Weekly: Mildly negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Application: Still not invested. Tomorrow’s forecast is expected to be more negative, but not rise to the level of taking a position. Invest at your own risk.

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Forecast 2024-03-06

Daily: Mildly negative Weekly: Negative Monthly: Negative Annual: Negative Trading application: Not invested with or against the S&P 500. Tomorrow, I expect a slightly rosier forecast and the same investing decision, but things change. Last night, I was anticipating a negative daily forecast today. Invest at your own risk.

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Trading Strategy Modification

Consumers of this site may already be aware that my forecasts have been positive, neutral, or negative. Going forward, I intend to continue to make forecasts on the same ranges, but I’m tweaking the positive and negative thresholds and breaking the neutral category into mildly positive and mildly negative. More positive or negative forecasts moving… Continue reading Trading Strategy Modification

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Forecast 2024-02-28

The daily ranged forecast is neutral. Longer ranged forecasts are negative. Invest at your own risk.

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Forecast 2024-02-26

The daily and weekly ranged forecasts are neutral. Until these forecasts are both positive or negative, I will not be short-term investing with or against the S&P 500 index. Invest at your own risk.

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Forecast 2024-02-22

Today’s daily ranged forecast is neutral. The longer ranged forecasts are negative. Thus, I’m not in a short-term position with or against the S&P 500. Invest at your own risk.

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Forecast 2024-02-21

The daily ranged forecast has a neutral outlook is expected to be neutral tomorrow, too. Longer-ranged forecasts have a negative outlook. My trading principles call for avoiding short-term positions until the daily and weekly ranged forecasts agree with each other. Invest at your own risk.

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Forecast 2024-02-20

The daily ranged forecast is neutral. While the longer ranged forecasts are negative, I will remain uninvested until the daily ranged forecast is negative, too (or until both the daily and weekly ranged forecasts are positive. Invest at your own risk.

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Forecast 2024-02-16

The daily ranged forecast is neutral. The other ranged forecasts are negative. I’m waiting for the daily and weekly ranged forecasts to both be negative or positive before coming off the sidelines. Invest at your own risk.

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