Category: Blog

Daily: Positive (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~65% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m on the sidelines as my the model’s daily and weekly forecasts aren’t aligning. Holding current data constant to tomorrow suggests similar forecasts for tomorrow. Invest at your own risk.

Daily: Negative (>3x investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (>2x threshold)Monthly: Negative (Barely over threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Based on my forecasts, I am in positions against the S&P 500 index. Today’s forecasts are improved (less negative) compared to yesterday. Plugging current data into tomorrow suggests that forecasts trend of improving forecasts will continue. Thus, I… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2026-01-05

Daily: Marginally positive (Very close to investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~70% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~90% of theshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Today, I’m not investing with or against the short-term, but my models, assuming current conditions hold, offer significantly deteriorating forecasts for tomorrow.

Daily: Positive (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Neutral (~0)Monthly: Marginally negative (~60% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~2x investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not invested short term today. I anticipate taking the same position or lack thereof tomorrow, barring a significant shift in data between now and then.

Daily: Positive (5x> investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally positive (~70% investment threshold)Monthly: Negative (>2x threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~50% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative If current data holds, I may take a position against the index on Friday. Merry Christmas!

Daily: Positive (3x investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~0)Monthly: Negative (>2x Threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~%60 over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not in the market short term today as the weekly forecast and daily forecast aren’t aligned with each other.

Daily: Positive (~30% over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally positive (~25% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~40% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~80% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still not invested in the short-term based on the model. If data stays as is, I’ll likely stay out Monday, too. To invest, I want to see the same signal from the… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-12-19

Daily: Negative (~50% over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~30% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~80% over investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Based on forecasts, I’m sitting out today. If data holds, I don’t anticipate that changing tomorrow.

Daily: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~30% of investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (90% over investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Based on the weekly forecast not being over the investment threshold, I’m sitting out regarding short-term index investing.

Daily: Negative (Slightly over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~50% under threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% under threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Regarding short-term S&P index investing, I’m on the sidelines due to the weak weekly forecast. If current data remains steady, I anticipate also sitting out tomorrow. However, tomorrow is an irregular BLS reporting day,… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-12-15