Category: Blog

For today and tentatively tomorrow, the daily forecast is neutral. The weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. Thus, I closed my existing position and am awaiting a new opportunity. Invest at your own risk.

Today, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative, though the daily forecast is close to my indeterminant threshold. Tomorrow, the daily forecast weakens. If it comes to fruition, I anticipate closing my position against the market tomorrow.

Today and tomorrow, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. Usually, I’d take a position against the market at a factor of (-3). However, tomorrow is the BLS’s monthly labor report release date. That’s likely to move the market by significantly more or less than my forecast, so I’m scaling back to (-1)… Continue reading Forecast 2024-01-04

Today and tomorrow: The daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. Due to illness and paying attention to my day job, I didn’t take a position against the S&P500 at a factore of -3, as the model would suggest. I will likely do so tomorrow if the current forecast holds tomorrow, too. Invest at… Continue reading Forecast 2024-01-03

Today and tomorrow: The daily forecast is neutral. The weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. Since the daily forecast is not aligned with the weekly forecast, I am on the sidelines. Invest at your own risk. Models are imperfect.

Today and tomorrow, daily and weekly forecasts are neutral, and monthly and annual forecasts are negative. I’m on the sidelines, earning interest on cash. Invest at your own risk.

If anyone is looking for the missing post, I skipped yesterday in honor of Christmas. Yesterday: daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts were negative. Today: the daily forecast is neutral. The other forecasts are negative. Tomorrow: the daily and weekly forecasts are neutral. The monthly and annual forecast are negative. Thus, I am still in… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-27

Today and Tuesday, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative. However, I will not short the market over Christmas, no matter what a forecast without holiday variables may indicate. Invest at your own risk. Merry Christmas! To us a child is born, a son is given…He will be called Wonderful Counselor, Mighty… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-22

Today and tomorrow, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. I’m still positioned against the S&P 500 at a factor of -3. However, I intend to cut back leverage over Christmas, out of seasonal concern, not model considerations. Current position is at -0.73%

Today and tomorrow’s daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative. Thus, I’m continuing to invest against the S&P500 with leverage of (-3). Current position is at +0.22%