Category: Blog

Today and tomorrow, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative. My current position against the S&P 500 at a factor of (-3) has currently lost -1.09%.

Today, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts all had a negative outlook. The same appears to be likely tomorrow. I entered a position against the S&P 500 at a factor of (-3) today. Invest at your own risk. I make no guarantees regarding where the market will go.

Sorry for the disruption in posting forecasts, but sometimes, life happens. The overlap with the FOMC was sheer coincidence.The daily forecast for today is neutral. The weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts for today are negative. On Monday, I’m anticipating all four forecasts being negative. Thus, I’m currently not invested, but will likely take a position… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-15

The daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative for both today and tomorrow. Because of the weakness of the monthly forecast, my position is (-1)*S&P 500 instead of -3. My open position is at -.52% since opening. Invest at your own risk. Clearly, I’m not making guarantees of success.

Today and tomorrow, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. The severity of the monthly forecast is mild. Thus, I’m investing at S&P 500 return * (-1). I’m not confident that the negative monthly forecast will hold. Essentially, I’m wavering in a conservative way from doing exactly what the model and strategy calls for,… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-11

Today: Daily forecast is neutral while weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative.Monday: The daily and weekly forecasts are negative while the monthly forecast is neutral and the annual forecast is still negative. Thus, applying the strategy means sitting out today and potentially entering a position against the market on Monday (-1 x market return).… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-08

Daily and monthly forecasts are neutral. The weekly and annual forecasts are negative. Given the indeterminate forecasts, I’m on the sidelines. Invest at your own risk. I don’t guarantee these forecasts.

The daily forecast is neutral. The weekly forecast is negative. The monthly forecast is positive and strengthening. The annual forecast while admittedly extremely negative is lessening in severity. I’m waiting for a clearer signal before opening a position again. Currently, a position against the market, but at a factor of -1 seems like the next… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-06

Both today and tomorrow, the daily forecast is producing a neutral/indeterminate forecast while remaining forecasts are negative. The monthly forecast’s negativity is very mild. Hence, I’m on the sidelines waiting for a clearer time to reenter the market. Invest at your own risk. I can’t make any guarantees regarding future returns.

For both today and tomorrow, the daily forecast is neutral, while the weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. (Admittedly, the monthly forecast isn’t very negative.) Thus, I retreated to cash today, due to a lack of clear opportunity either long or short the market. The position I closed returned +1.64%. Per usual, invest at… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-04