S&P 500 Forecast 2026-08-31

Daily: Marginally positive
Weekly: Negative (>3x investment threshold)
Monthly: Negative (> 2x threshold)
Quarterly: Marginally negative (Just under threshold)
Annually: Marginally negative

I’ve been watching from the sidelines rather than investing short term with or against the index. Tomorrow, I’m likely to take a position against the index if tomorrow’s data is little changed from today. Invest at your own risk!

For those wondering about this past Friday, given the rate increases, the daily forecast was positive. The weekly and monthly forecasts were less severe. The quarterly and annual forecasts were more severe.

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