Author: bullbearduck.com

The 1-day and 1-week forecasts are positive. The 1-mo forecast today is mildly positive, but the 1-mo forecast for tomorrow is mildly negative. Technically, my strategy suggests that I should be leveraged the S&P 500 today (+2) and gear down to an ordinary index fund tomorrow. I’m just holding in the ordinary index fund to… Continue reading S&P Forecast 2024-05-09

1-day and 1-week forecasts are positive. The 1-mo forecast is almost spot on zero. The monthly forecast for tomorrow assuming current conditions persist is mildly negative. Thus, I’m opening a basic long position in an S&P 500 index funds, rather than trying to take on a leverage factor of 2 and likely recalibrating tomorrow. Invest… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2024-05-08

1-day forecast is mildly positive. The 1-wk forecast is positive. The 1-mo forecast is mildly negative. The 1-yr forecast is negative. I’m not taking a position based on this forecast, but I anticipate doing so tomorrow, depending on what happens between now and then. Invest at your own risk.

The 1-day forecast is mildly neutral, while the 1-week forecast is just barely positive. The 1-mo forecast is still negative, but it’s drifting towards what I’d describe as mildly negative if recent history continues. I don’t currently have an S&P 500 model based position, and it appears unlikely that that will change tomorrow, unless conditions… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2024-05-06

The 1-day and 1-wk forecasts are mildly negative while the 1-mo and 1-yr forecasts would be actionably negative, with complimentary shorter term forecasts. I’m waiting for a clearer forecast before opening any new positions. Invest at your own risk.

The 1-day and 1-week forecasts are mildly positive. The 1-mo and 1-yr forecasts are negative. The trading rules that I’m following don’t support taking a position today. If they had, I would have had to think long and hard about it, as it seems likely that the Fed’s press conference will move the market in… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2024-05-01, Before FOMC press conference

The 1-day forecast is positive. The 1-wk, 1-mo, and 1-yr forecasts are all negative. I’m not willing to take a model based position without the 1-wk forecast agreeing with the 1-day forecast regarding direction. Unless the data changes substantially between today and tomorrow, I won’t entertain taking up a position tomorrow either. Invest at your… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2024-04-29

1-Day forecast is positive. The 1-wk forecast is mildly negative. The 1-mo forecast is negative, as is the 1-yr forecast. I’m not invested today in the market strategy currently. Invest at your own risk.

The 1-day forecast is positive, but the 1-week forecast is mildly negative. Thus, I closed out my position at a leverage factor of 1 with a gain of +.80%. If conditions remain unchanged, I will not re-enter the market based on the strategy tracked here tomorrow. Invest at your own risk. As has steadily been… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2024-04-25

The 1-day forecast is positive. The 1-week forecast is barely positive. The 1-month and 1-yr forecasts are negative. It’s likely that I will exit my existing position of being invested in the S&P500 at a factor of 1. The position stands now at +1.16%. Invest at your own risk.