Author: bullbearduck.com

All ranged forecasts are negative. I’m continuing to hold a position against the market with leverage of -3. I anticipate continuing to do so tomorrow. My current position has lost -.24% since being opened. Invest at your own risk.

1-day, 1-wk, 1-mo, and 1-yr forecasts are all negative. If conditions hold, tomorrow’s forecast is likely to be similar. Thus, I closed my open position for a gain of +.10% and instead entered a position against the market with a leverage factor of -3. Invest at your own risk.

1-day forecast is negative. 1-wk and 1-mo forecasts are mildly negative. 1-yr forecast is negative. Action: Stay invested against the index at a leverage factor of -1. Open position return is +.18%. Invest at your own risk.

1-Day forecast: negative, 1-wk forecast: mildly negative, 1-mo forecast: mildly negative, 1-yr forecast: negativeAction: I opened a position against the market (leverage factor of -1).Tomorrow: If conditions hold, I may keep a short position, but with more leverage.Invest at your own risk.

1-day forecast is negative. 1-wk forecast is mildly positive. 1-mo forecast is mildly negative. The 1-yr forecast is negative. Action: No position due to differing expectations for 1-day and 1-week forecast. If current conditions persist, a position against the S&P 500 might be supported by the model tomorrow. Invest at your own risk.

1-Day forecast is negative, slightly over the magnitude threshold 1-Wk forecast is mildly negative. Thus, technically, following the model would be opening a position against the S&P 500 with a leverage factor of (-1). However, inflation data comes out tomorrow. I’m not interested on taking a position based on only a weak signal, the day… Continue reading S&P Forecast 2024-05-14

1-day forecast is barely positive. 1-wk forecast is mildly positive. 1-mo forecast is mildly negative. 1-yr forecast is negative. Reaction: Closed position, locking in gain of +.70%. Tomorrow: If market conditions hold, I may place a position against the index. Disclaimer: Invest at your own risk. The model is fitted to history. No model will… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2024-05-13

The 1-day and 1-week forecasts are positive. The 1-mo forecast today is mildly positive, but the 1-mo forecast for tomorrow is mildly negative. Technically, my strategy suggests that I should be leveraged the S&P 500 today (+2) and gear down to an ordinary index fund tomorrow. I’m just holding in the ordinary index fund to… Continue reading S&P Forecast 2024-05-09

1-day and 1-week forecasts are positive. The 1-mo forecast is almost spot on zero. The monthly forecast for tomorrow assuming current conditions persist is mildly negative. Thus, I’m opening a basic long position in an S&P 500 index funds, rather than trying to take on a leverage factor of 2 and likely recalibrating tomorrow. Invest… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2024-05-08

1-day forecast is mildly positive. The 1-wk forecast is positive. The 1-mo forecast is mildly negative. The 1-yr forecast is negative. I’m not taking a position based on this forecast, but I anticipate doing so tomorrow, depending on what happens between now and then. Invest at your own risk.