S&P 500 Forecast 2026-10-29

Daily: Marginally positive (~40% of investment forecast) The expected return is barely over my older more simplistic daily approach, but the downside risk relative to the reward is significant.
Weekly: Positive (>3x investment threshold)
Monthly: Positive (>2x investment threshold)
Quarterly: Marginally positive (~40% of investment threshold)
Annually: Marginally positive

I’m not short-term invested for or against the index. Current data suggests that I will also be out tomorrow, but the forecast is cuspy enough that that could change. Invest at your own risk!

Provocative question of the day: Is Alphabet dropping ~10% on earnings an AI bubble harbinger? A buy the dip opportunity? Both?

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