Category: Blog

Daily: Positive (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Neutral (~0)Monthly: Marginally negative (~60% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~2x investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not invested short term today. I anticipate taking the same position or lack thereof tomorrow, barring a significant shift in data between now and then.

Daily: Positive (5x> investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally positive (~70% investment threshold)Monthly: Negative (>2x threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~50% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative If current data holds, I may take a position against the index on Friday. Merry Christmas!

Daily: Positive (3x investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~0)Monthly: Negative (>2x Threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~%60 over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m not in the market short term today as the weekly forecast and daily forecast aren’t aligned with each other.

Daily: Positive (~30% over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally positive (~25% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~40% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~80% over threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still not invested in the short-term based on the model. If data stays as is, I’ll likely stay out Monday, too. To invest, I want to see the same signal from the… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-12-19

Daily: Negative (~50% over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~30% of threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of threshold)Quarterly: Negative (~80% over investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Based on forecasts, I’m sitting out today. If data holds, I don’t anticipate that changing tomorrow.

Daily: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~30% of investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (90% over investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Based on the weekly forecast not being over the investment threshold, I’m sitting out regarding short-term index investing.

Daily: Negative (Slightly over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~50% under threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% under threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x threshold)Annually: Marginally negative Regarding short-term S&P index investing, I’m on the sidelines due to the weak weekly forecast. If current data remains steady, I anticipate also sitting out tomorrow. However, tomorrow is an irregular BLS reporting day,… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-12-15

Daily: Positive (slightly over investment threshold)Weekly: Marginally negative (~40% of investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (~50% of investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still not short-term invested based on these models. If current data holds steady, I’m not anticipating any entry into a position Monday either.

Daily: Marginally positive (~20% of investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (Slightly over investment threshold)Monthly: Marginally Negative (Slightly under investment threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x investment threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I’m still sitting out, regarding my short term model-based investment strategy. If current data hold forecasts will be even milder regarding returns tomorrow, meaning I will likely still be sitting out.

Daily: Marginally negative (~2/3 of investment threshold)Weekly: Negative (~50% over threshold)Monthly: Marginally negative (slightly under threshold)Quarterly: Negative (>2x Threshold)Annually: Marginally negative I exited the market today given the weakening strength of forecasting. If conditions hold, tomorrow’s forecast could be negative enough to justify getting back in against the market. The strength of the quarterly forecast… Continue reading S&P 500 Forecast 2025-12-10