S&P 500 Forecast 2025-06-23

Daily trend expectations based on ranged forecasts:
Daily: Positive
Weekly: Positive
Monthly: Flat
Quarterly: Negative
Annually: Flat

Under typical circumstances, I’d invest in the S&P 500 index given this forecast. However, a forecast with assumptions of increased 50% recession risk suggests a different story.

Weekly: Negative
Monthly: Negative

Due to the weekly forecast being negative, I’m staying cautious and staying uninvested. This was close to a day where I pulled the trigger to invest. Tariffs and now Iran amount to a lot of business uncertainty and market volatility. I’m just making the statement from an attempt to make money standpoint, not a political value judgment. Invest at your own risk.

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