Category: Blog

Today and tomorrow, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. The severity of the monthly forecast is mild. Thus, I’m investing at S&P 500 return * (-1). I’m not confident that the negative monthly forecast will hold. Essentially, I’m wavering in a conservative way from doing exactly what the model and strategy calls for,… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-11

Today: Daily forecast is neutral while weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative.Monday: The daily and weekly forecasts are negative while the monthly forecast is neutral and the annual forecast is still negative. Thus, applying the strategy means sitting out today and potentially entering a position against the market on Monday (-1 x market return).… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-08

Daily and monthly forecasts are neutral. The weekly and annual forecasts are negative. Given the indeterminate forecasts, I’m on the sidelines. Invest at your own risk. I don’t guarantee these forecasts.

The daily forecast is neutral. The weekly forecast is negative. The monthly forecast is positive and strengthening. The annual forecast while admittedly extremely negative is lessening in severity. I’m waiting for a clearer signal before opening a position again. Currently, a position against the market, but at a factor of -1 seems like the next… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-06

Both today and tomorrow, the daily forecast is producing a neutral/indeterminate forecast while remaining forecasts are negative. The monthly forecast’s negativity is very mild. Hence, I’m on the sidelines waiting for a clearer time to reenter the market. Invest at your own risk. I can’t make any guarantees regarding future returns.

For both today and tomorrow, the daily forecast is neutral, while the weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are negative. (Admittedly, the monthly forecast isn’t very negative.) Thus, I retreated to cash today, due to a lack of clear opportunity either long or short the market. The position I closed returned +1.64%. Per usual, invest at… Continue reading Forecast 2023-12-04

Today and Monday, the daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative. I closed my position entering the day at -.94%. I’m now still short the market at 3 times the market return. Invest at your risk. As you can see above, I’m not guaranteeing results.

The daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecasts are all negative today; but tomorrow, the monthly forecast is expected to be positive. I entered a position against the market, but no gearing since the monthly forecast doesn’t suggest it’s a great time for a very bearish play. Invest at your own risk. I make no guarantees.

The forecasts are all negative, but the monthly forecast has been steadily improving (from roughly -4% to 0% tomorrow in roughly a week). I’m closing my position up +.40% from when I opened it. As always, invest at your own risk. I make no guarantees.

The daily, weekly, monthly, and annual forecast for the S&P 500 are all negative. The monthly forecast is improving such that I might stop going against the S&P 500 with leverage soon, but not yet. My current position is at +.50% since being opened. As always, invest at your own risk. I make no guarantees.